我是BIS 27的学员,22年6月参加BIS,今年是我加入松大这个大家庭的第二年。现在想起,虽然时间不长,可在过去1年也接触了不少GP的师兄 / 师姐(线上 / 线下KL & SG),也遇到了不少愿意真诚分享的好人,在此说声谢谢!毕竟,身边投资马股的朋友也不多,要好好交流,分享的机会更是少之又少。这也是我期待BVE竞赛的原因,能让松大这些有经验的价值投资者,来分享真实的案例,肯定让人兴奋!所以我也花点时间,抛砖引玉,希望有经验的师兄 / 师姐可以指点,也希望让还在寻找方向的师弟 / 师妹(像当初的我),带来一点点的启发。 Gas Malaysia – 预期的超常盈利和高股息 首先,说点最实在的,也泼一盘冷水。标题里的快钱和大钱,我都还没赚到, 2023年只是跑赢了FD。延续之前BVE竞赛的分享,22年戴上寻找成长股的眼镜后(参加BIS),我被其中一个投资机会吸引了,也有了行动。那就是了解到GASMSIA在本地天然气价格自由化的背景,和国际gas price向好,也搞清楚MRP(Malaysia reference price)的定价模式后,认为找到有个风险相对低,而有潜在派高息的公司,希望找到个有rerating的投资机会。后来追踪了几个季度,观察一些外部因素,认为国际天然气价格已经见顶,以及明白MRP的滞后性,就了结这笔投资。老实说,预期的超常盈利和高股息没发生,有点小失望。只是想想,不到一年,收了20 cent左右的股息,加上一点capital gain,考虑冒着较低的风险,有20%左右的回酬还算不错。 成长股
900多家上市公司,怎样判断哪一家适合投资呢? 来!ValueFarm App已经帮你整理好了 2种观察名单 – SBA & ROE 很简单!点击Health Status新功能,就可以看到6个财务数字过滤后的结果, 让新手一目了然看清楚公司的体质是否“健康 和出现哪些警示信号,可谓是股市里的照妖镜! 重点是! 每一家公司都能看到! 而且只要单击右下角的 i 符号,就可以查看每个指标更详细的中英文解释。 只看Health Status还觉得资讯不够,担心不小心选到不好的公司?你还有一个方法,就是打开GR Chart股票名单!点击Stock List,就会显示VF Monitor,之后再选择GR Chart。 通过GR Chart你可以清楚看出这些公司的成长空间(Growth)和风险程度(Risk)。
不得了,不得了!这两份股票名单让你快速又轻松选股。 说的就是这两份: SBA (Dividend) 名单和ROE (Growth) 名单。 除了Nestle, Berjaya Food (股票代号:BJFOOD)的股价也出现下跌, 想要以派息能力切入,看SBA (Dividend) Stock List 想要稳健的生意切入,看ROE (Growth) Stock List 在ValueFarm APP里面,点击下方的Stock List,就会看到ValueFarm里面的三个主要股票名单 然后呢?当然不能从stocklist乱选一个. 该怎么快速把筛选范围缩小呢? 下一个功能,
最近与以色列冲突有关的抵制行为, 大马股市中的两大知名品牌公司的产品受到一些消费者的杯葛, 公司的盈利有可能会受影响, 造成Nestle 股价在最近几个月内出现明显下滑的因素之一, 从RM130跌至最低约RM110,接近20%的跌幅。 除了Nestle, Berjaya Food (股票代号:BJFOOD)的股价也出现下跌, 旗下的Starbucks Coffee也受到杯葛。 Starbucks Malaysia其实是BJFOOD的主要业务之一, 近期业绩盈利表现相对稳定。介于RM15m – RM19m上下, 主要是starbuck的成本管理得到了好转。 但这次发生的时间, 很大可能性再次影响到“来临”的业绩表现。 重点来啦,你是Starbucks的铁粉,还是Zus Coffee的支持者呢?在留言区评论哦 1.喜欢Starbucks的,写S2.中意喝Zus Coffee的,写Z 我们来看看目前市场到底还是Starbucks
Crescendo房地产公司最近在马来西亚Johor地区一口气卖了几块地皮,产生RM100 million的收入。有可能因新柔地铁、My Second Home计划和隆新高铁等项目的推动而卖到更好的价格。 Crescendo的卖地计划在11月一下子宣布了三笔卖地现金交易,总值达到RM 534.19 million。这些交易有望让公司的账面变得更强壮,也能提高他们的现金流。 Crescendo之前一直走比较保守的路线,但业绩一直还可以,每年也有分红。最近宣布了卖地之后股价已从RM1.4的水平涨到RM1.8的水平。 Gooi Brothers是公司的大股东,也是Kim Loong Resources的控股股东,而Kim Loong Resources是一家表现稳定、一直给股东带来不错回报、以及派息大方的种植公司。所以可能可以在Crescendo卖地后派发特别股息保有多一点的期待。 预计完成卖地交易将比Ajinomoto的来得快,因为是空置土地。卖地需要获得股东大会的同意,目前管理层并未给出确认。卖地交易有望让Crescendo的每股现金翻涨,对股东回报有好处。 跟Ajinomoto的Kuchai Lama工厂卖地相比,Crescendo这次的卖地价值更高,市值也相应地上升。 关于公司的股价走势,取决于公司的卖地净利润能为公司增加多少的利润;有没有宣布特别派息;给多少的特别派息,才可能会对股价造成相应的推动。
试想一下当你走在马路上,看见左边&右边的汽车都是来自Sime Darby,比如Porsche, BMW,Mini,Ford,Hyundai,Jaguar,Land Rover,BYD,Volvo,以及Rolls Royce。还有收购回来UMW旗下的Toyota,Lexus和Perodua。 最新消息指Sime Darby已经在11月16日的股东大会正式通过了对UMW的收购。 这次收购的举动,确定了Sime Darby将占据50%以上市场份额,还可控制UMW旗下的Toyota和第二国产车Perodua,成为马来西亚汽车市场的绝对霸主。 值得一提,政府取消SST减免后,汽车销售数量不但没有下滑,反而市场出现相当劲爆的状况,尤其是10月份销售出75,000辆比9月份多出了10%。甚至差点追平了今年3月份的高峰 78,800多辆。 重点是!UMW旗下的Toyota的单月销量创下了五年新高!而且,从今年开始到现在,销量也增长了整整9.1%。 造就了Sime Darby近期的股价也创下了新高,也有向上试探的迹象,看来市场对这项收购交易感到非常乐观。 问题来了,这么大块的蛋糕,Sime Darby在收购完了UMW之后,会选择将它私有化吗?如果是的话,对长期投资的散户来说可能就不太乐观咯。你认为呢?
吉打州有望成为电动车组装中心,幕后推手竟是全球第4大汽车集团!? 这个具体的例子主要解释了国际汽车巨头在马来西亚投资的意义,以及这种投资如何带动本地产业链的增长。如果落实,这种发展对于提升本地制造业工人薪资、创造就业机会以及推动马来西亚经济二次工业化非常重要。
案列讲解英美烟草 British American Tobacco, BAT (4162),给着高股息 但是股价却跌跌不休的现象。 英美烟草是外国公司,所以赚到的利润都会通过股息(dividend payout)合法回馈给外国大股东们。这样的情况,造就了公司的股东基金逐渐减小,但利润仍然存在。出现了高ROE和本小利大的现象 自从英美烟草改变了生意模式,从外国取货进口Malaysia售卖,然后关闭在malaysia的制造工厂。这样的业务模式也彻底改变了公司的盈利模式,导致营业额和净利润大幅下降,影响到Return of equity的稳定性。 另外,虽然公司有继续派发高额的股息,但利润下滑,使派息率和派息额都有所下降。令到投资者对股息可持续性产生疑虑。因此股价一直下跌。 结论: 公司需要保持高Return of equity,并确保派息不会降低,以吸引更多的投资者,并使股价得以支持。否则,股价可能会继续下跌。投资者应了解公司的基本面和业务模式,以避免陷入高股息股票的陷阱。还不快点查查自己手上的股票?!
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